Lailara Promo Incrementality

Event Anatomy

← Back to the Scorecard

PRE-0072

REGIONAL · CHP-PS-009 · TPR_deep · 10.6% off · 2 weeks · 2024-08-10 to 2024-08-17 · off_invoice

Where the promoted volume came from

Units over the promo weeks, Method 1 baseline. The middle bar is volume that would have sold anyway; only the last bar is caused by the promo.

731Gross promoted422− Subsidized baseline309= Net incremental

Gross promoted volume minus the subsidized baseline the estimator would have expected leaves net incremental lift. Dip (pantry-load) and transfer (cannibalization) are not shown — a blind estimator cannot see them; they arrive as their own bars in the next method arc.

Net incremental margin
$764
Accrued trade cost
$430
Return on spend
1.80×
Giveaway share
50%
How wrong is this estimate? The error against known truth lives in the accuracy view — never on this page. →