Lailara Promo Incrementality

Event Anatomy

← Back to the Scorecard

PRE-0095

WALMART · CHP-SB-007 · TPR_deep · 15.7% off · 2 weeks · 2024-03-23 to 2024-03-30 · scan_based

Where the promoted volume came from

Units over the promo weeks, Method 1 baseline. The middle bar is volume that would have sold anyway; only the last bar is caused by the promo.

390Gross promoted206− Subsidized baseline184= Net incremental

Gross promoted volume minus the subsidized baseline the estimator would have expected leaves net incremental lift. Dip (pantry-load) and transfer (cannibalization) are not shown — a blind estimator cannot see them; they arrive as their own bars in the next method arc.

Net incremental margin
$256
Accrued trade cost
$142
Return on spend
1.80×
Giveaway share
50%
How wrong is this estimate? The error against known truth lives in the accuracy view — never on this page. →