Lailara Promo Incrementality

Event Anatomy

← Back to the Scorecard

PRE-0120

WALMART · CHP-SC-006 · ad_circular · 5.2% off · 1 week · 2023-12-30 to 2023-12-30 · off_invoice

Where the promoted volume came from

Units over the promo weeks, Method 1 baseline. The middle bar is volume that would have sold anyway; only the last bar is caused by the promo.

9Gross promoted7− Subsidized baseline2= Net incremental

Gross promoted volume minus the subsidized baseline the estimator would have expected leaves net incremental lift. Dip (pantry-load) and transfer (cannibalization) are not shown — a blind estimator cannot see them; they arrive as their own bars in the next method arc.

Net incremental margin
$4
Accrued trade cost
$8
Return on spend
0.50×
Giveaway share
70%
How wrong is this estimate? The error against known truth lives in the accuracy view — never on this page. →