Lailara Lift Math

Event Anatomy

← Back to the Scorecard

PRE-0191

SPROUTS · CHP-AS-002 · BOGO · 22.259999999999998% off · 2 weeks · 2024-08-03 to 2024-08-10 · billback

Where the promoted volume came from

Units over the promo weeks, Method 0 baseline. The middle bar is volume that would have sold anyway; only the last bar is what the estimator credits to the promo.

4,320Gross promoted1,646− Subsidized baseline2,674= Net incremental

Gross promoted volume minus the subsidized baseline the estimator would have expected leaves net incremental lift. Dip (pantry-load) and transfer (cannibalization) are not shown — these methods don't yet estimate them; both are estimable from observed data and arrive as their own bars in a later release.

Net incremental margin
$6,069
Accrued trade cost
$1,605
Return on spend
3.78×
Giveaway share
31%

Giveaway share is measured over complying stores only, while the bars show all promoted volume — so dividing the two bars above will not reproduce it exactly.

How wrong is this estimate? The error against known truth lives in the accuracy view — never on this page. →